Taiwan's AI Boom: Three Investment Plays to Watch

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The Taiwanese stock market has emerged as a notable leader in global financial performance, particularly as evidenced by the impressive 28.47% increase in the weighted index throughout 2024. This surge has captured the attention of investors worldwide, yet it has also prompted a shift towards a more cautious mindset among market participants. According to Bai Fangping, a fund manager at Fidelity International, the outlook for 2025 suggests that Taiwan's stock market is poised to maintain a volatile yet upward trajectory. As new products and applications continue to roll out, demand in the artificial intelligence (AI) sector is anticipated to play a fundamental role in bolstering market performance. Bai encourages investors to seize opportunities in the “serpentine-shaped rise” of investments, continuously seeking upward momentum amid the market fluctuations.

Bai underscores that the evolution of AI technology is likely to remain a critical driving force for the Taiwanese stock market, particularly in industries such as semiconductors, AI computing, and robotics. This momentum is especially pronounced with the increasing demand for advanced packaging technology and high-speed data transmission, paving the way for valuable investment opportunities linked to related supply chains.

As AI technologies advance, the trend towards high-precision chip packaging is becoming increasingly relevant. For instance, to meet the requirements for data computation and high-speed transmission, Common Photonic Packaging (CPO) technology is rapidly gaining traction. The rise of AI presents commercial opportunities which render high-speed transmission technologies vital for the semiconductor industry's development.

Additionally, cloud service providers are actively expanding their proprietary chip development to better align with business needs while diminishing reliance on conventional graphics processing units (GPUs). A forecast from Broadcom reveals that the AI Application-Specific Integrated Circuit (ASIC) service market is expected to surge from $12.2 billion in 2024 to between $60 billion and $90 billion by 2027, indicating a substantial commercial opportunity that could further stimulate the Taiwanese stock market and its supply chains.

Moreover, the expansion of edge AI applications, such as smart phones, laptops, autonomous driving capabilities, and intelligent manufacturing, is projected to play a pivotal role in realizing profit from AI commercialization. Major tech companies like Tesla and NVIDIA foresee robotics as a significant area for growth, recognizing the vast opportunities facilitated by the digital and automated economies. A report from Trend Force projects a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 154% for the robotics sector between 2024 and 2027. Furthermore, with the launch of new products and applications, the AI computer market is expected to witness increased segmentation, enticing consumers to upgrade their devices, particularly in light of recent trends accelerated by the COVID-19 pandemic and the cessation of Windows 10 support. Anticipation around the penetration rate and shipment volumes of AI computers is expected to rise, thereby further whetting the appetite for related companies to capitalize on this momentum.

Within the semiconductor realm, the shift towards advanced processes and packaging technology is apparent. Demand for 3-nanometer nodes remains strong, while 2-nanometer production is set to commence in the latter half of this year. Additionally, the N2P 2-nanometer process and the A16 process are also slated for mass production by the second half of 2026. TSMC continues to lead the semiconductor development landscape, presenting significant investment opportunities across various components and equipment sectors.

In light of recent developments from startups in mainland China, such as DeepSeek, which launched a low-cost, high-efficiency AI model, the market is beginning to reevaluate its capital spending strategies regarding AI technologies. In the short term, market volatility is likely to persist; however, the trend towards affordable AI solutions is expected to increase participation from smaller businesses and individual users, ultimately accelerating AI penetration and boosting overall product demand and market size.

Specifically, companies specializing in edge AI solutions may stand to benefit significantly. With heightened concerns surrounding information security, businesses are becoming increasingly inclined to utilize on-premise AI models, which, in turn, could fuel an upgrade wave across the entire edge AI hardware sector. Additionally, AI software developers are set to experience growth opportunities as AI becomes more mainstream, leading to a more diverse and increased demand for AI applications.

Overall, in 2025, artificial intelligence, with its remarkable innovative vitality and extensive application potential, is expected to lead numerous sectors, maintaining its frontrunner status in technology development. Breakthroughs and innovations in AI are fundamentally transforming operational models and development directions across various industries, injecting new momentum into economic growth.

Fidelity International, drawing on rich insights and expert analysis of market trends, remains optimistic about the substantial boost provided by the comprehensive specifications upgrade led by AI. This enhancement is illustrated not just through technological improvements, but also in the reengineering and optimization of entire industry chains. In Taiwan's stock market, supply chains rooted in hardware are showcasing remarkable growth resilience and expansive development prospects, distinctively positioned with ongoing operational growth opportunities.

More specifically, AI computers represent a unique fusion of AI technologies and computing hardware, ushering in unparalleled developmental opportunities. As AI applications evolve across sectors such as smart office settings, intelligent education initiatives, and entertainment, the demand for performance and functionality in AI computers has surged, prompting ongoing upgrades in hardware specifications, algorithm optimizations, and user experiences. Additionally, industrial computers are increasingly prevalent in sectors like intelligent manufacturing and industrial automation, where AI integration enables more precise production control and enhanced data analysis and decision-making, ultimately elevating industrial efficiency and quality. Robotics, pivotal in AI applications, are gaining importance in manufacturing, logistics, and services, thanks to continuously advancing AI algorithms and sensor technologies that enable robots to perform increasingly complex and precise tasks.

Consequently, Fidelity International recommends that investors keep a close watch on supply chain investment opportunities that encompass AI computers, industrial computers, and robotics. In the supply chain for AI computers, opportunities abound across the entire spectrum—ranging from upstream core component suppliers, such as chips and memory products, to midstream assembly manufacturers and downstream sales channels or service providers. The industrial computer supply chain also covers manufacturing firms specializing in industrial-grade chips, motherboards, and enclosures, alongside systems integration and industrial software companies. The robotics supply chain consists of R&D designers, manufacturers of core components like servo motors and controllers, and system integrators involved in building sophisticated robotic assemblies.

Moreover, investors should remain vigilant to the robust demand arising from sub-industries that present ripe investment opportunities. Within AI and PC-related sectors, upstream material suppliers such as semiconductor materials and electronic components are crucial to ensuring product quality and performance. As the AI and PC markets continue to grow, demand for these materials is forecasted to be robust. The wafer fabrication and packaging manufacturers serve as critical links in the semiconductor value chain, with technological prowess and production capacities directly impacting chip performance and cost. In the context of escalating demand for AI chips, wafer fabrication and packaging firms are bound to encounter increasing business opportunities. Meanwhile, downstream hardware component suppliers, contract manufacturers, and branded firms will need to consistently enhance their R&D capabilities and production efficiencies to meet the market's high-quality, high-performance demands.

The vigorous development of AI in 2025 holds immense investment opportunities for the Taiwanese stock market. As investors navigate these prospects, they should stay attuned to market trends and technological advancements to make informed investment decisions aimed at preserving and enhancing asset value.

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